Knowledge | The curious case of Gujarat’s COVID-19 curve: remained flat all through Could


The distinctive sample of case improve in Gujarat highlights the necessity to ramp up testing relative to the dimensions of the outbreak within the State

Among the many 4 States/UTs with the best variety of COVID-19 infections, Gujarat has a novel sample of regular each day case will increase by way of Could.

Regardless of its comparatively excessive general case load, the State’s exams per confirmed case stay low. Gujarat wants to extend testing relative to the dimensions of the outbreak.

Additionally learn: Coronavirus | ‘Mannequin State’ Gujarat below nice pressure

A novel curve

The graphs present each day circumstances (in purple) and each day exams (in blue) carried out in 4 States/UTs with the best infections since Could 1.

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Each day circumstances vs each day exams

picture/svg+xmlDelhiGujaratMaharashtraTamil Nadu100050008004008004001053211551510515105CASES (‘000)TESTS (‘000)CASESCASESCASESCould 1Could 16Could 1Could 1Could 1Could 25Could 25Could 25Could 25TESTS (‘000)TESTS (‘000)TESTS (‘000)

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The each day improve in circumstances has remained almost fixed in Gujarat within the 320-440 vary regardless of variations in testing ranges. On Could 16, Gujarat introduced a backlog of circumstances associated to super-spreaders, leading to a single-day spike.

Low on exams

The graph exhibits the seven-day rolling common of exams carried out in States with a excessive variety of infections. Gujarat was steadily exhibiting larger ranges of testing until Could 7, however a discount* resulted in decrease averages between Could eight and 18.

Since then, there was once more a gentle improve. Together with Madhya Pradesh and Delhi, Gujarat has carried out a low variety of exams amongst States with a excessive case load.

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Seven-day rolling common of exams

picture/svg+xml15105Apr. 10Apr. 20Apr. 30Could 10Could 20AVG. TESTS (‘000)T.N.RAJASTHANGUJARATMAHARASHTRADELHIM.P.

Exams per confirmed case

The graph under exhibits the variety of exams carried out per confirmed case over time. Gujarat’s exams per case remained low together with Maharashtra’s and Delhi’s.

Viewing in app? Click on to see graph

picture/svg+xml50403020100TESTS/CASESApr. 9Apr. 19Apr. 29Could 9Could 19T.N.RAJASTHANGUJARATMAHARASHTRADELHIM.P.

* The drop in common variety of exams carried out corresponds to the interval when former Ahmedabad Municipal Commissioner Vijay Nehra was despatched on a two-week dwelling quarantine (on Could 5) after he got here into contact with an contaminated particular person and finally transferred out of the publish (on Could 18).

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